Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004530 0.005019 0.005527 0.006092 0.006702 0.007340 0.008056
2025-01-12 0.003661 0.004344 0.005090 0.005961 0.006947 0.008025 0.009287
2025-01-19 0.003172 0.003959 0.004851 0.005931 0.007194 0.008617 0.010332
2025-01-26 0.002774 0.003619 0.004610 0.005845 0.007329 0.009044 0.011159
2025-02-02 0.002491 0.003381 0.004454 0.005828 0.007519 0.009514 0.012024
2025-02-09 0.002248 0.003166 0.004303 0.005793 0.007668 0.009922 0.012808
2025-02-16 0.002117 0.003080 0.004301 0.005934 0.008026 0.010581 0.013900
2025-02-23 0.001912 0.002877 0.004133 0.005847 0.008085 0.010863 0.014525
2025-03-02 0.001768 0.002747 0.004047 0.005857 0.008260 0.011287 0.015326
2025-03-09 0.001711 0.002729 0.004108 0.006059 0.008684 0.012030 0.016542
2025-03-16 0.001614 0.002647 0.004075 0.006128 0.008930 0.012546 0.017474
2025-03-23 0.001545 0.002601 0.004086 0.006254 0.009252 0.013161 0.018542
2025-03-30 0.001487 0.002570 0.004120 0.006417 0.009633 0.013873 0.019762
2025-04-06 0.001342 0.002396 0.003940 0.006271 0.009586 0.014013 0.020231
2025-04-13 0.001243 0.002286 0.003847 0.006240 0.009693 0.014356 0.020972
2025-04-20 0.001137 0.002158 0.003717 0.006150 0.009709 0.014573 0.021541
2025-04-27 0.001059 0.002068 0.003640 0.006132 0.009825 0.014925 0.022296
2025-05-04 0.000982 0.001976 0.003555 0.006097 0.009911 0.015233 0.022993
2025-05-11 0.000953 0.001962 0.003590 0.006243 0.010264 0.015919 0.024220
2025-05-18 0.000875 0.001857 0.003475 0.006152 0.010263 0.016103 0.024752
2025-05-25 0.000823 0.001795 0.003426 0.006163 0.010411 0.016500 0.025583
2025-06-01 0.000814 0.001810 0.003503 0.006373 0.010862 0.017337 0.027047
2025-06-08 0.000779 0.001775 0.003495 0.006445 0.011104 0.017875 0.028093